The road for the disappointing Green Bay Packers doesn’t get any easier on Sunday as they travel to Buffalo to take on the rising Buffalo Bills. The Packers are 3-4 this season and have lost 3 straight games while the Bills are 5-1 and won 3 straight games. Those two teams haven’t played since 2018, when the Packers shut out the Bills 22-0 at Green Bay as 8.5-point favorites. But for this nationally televised Sunday Night Football tilt, the Bills are an 11-point favorite.
Packers suffer heavy losses
Has there been a bigger disappointment this season than the Green Bay Packers? The Tampa Bay Buccaneers could give them a hard time, but overall they haven’t been good. They’re now facing one of the best teams in the NFL in one of the toughest places to play, so a win here this week would definitely come as a surprise. The Packers come into this game having lost three straight to fall to 3-4. And it was a bad loss, as they fell to the Commanders 23-21, playing with their backup quarterback. The Packers had been favored by 4 points.
Aaron Rodgers is being grilled by reporters over his public criticism of his teammates for making mistakes. βPeople in this society sometimes struggle to hear the truth,β he said. https://t.co/EojX4Xgkxd
β ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) October 27, 2022
The Packers were completely outplayed in possession time as Washington controlled the ball for 37 minutes to about 23 minutes for Green Bay. And racing is supposed to be one of Green Bay’s strengths. They were also passed 364 to 232 and had 6 fewer first downs. Aaron Rodgers was decent at 23 for 35 for 194 yards and 2 no-choice touchdowns, but the running game was non-existent. Aaron Jones had 23 yards on 8 carries while AJ Dillon had 15 yards on 4 carries. Jones, however, caught 9 passes for 53 yards and 2 touchdowns. Allen Lazard added 6 catches for 55 yards. The Packers rank 23rd in runs scored and 14th in runs allowed. They are No. 1 against the pass, but 27th against the run.
Green Bay has a long list of injuries, the biggest being Rodgers, who is questionable with a thumb injury. Lazard is also injured in the shoulder.
Invoices start off on the right foot
The Buffalo Bills had a bye week last week, and it was well deserved as the Bills went 5-1 through the first six games. They are currently riding a three-game winning streak, which includes wins over the Ravens and Chiefs. The only flaw of the season is a 21-19 loss at Miami in Week 3. In their last game two weeks ago, they pulled off a huge 24-20 win over the Chiefs in Kansas City. Josh Allen was 27 for 40 for 329 yards and 3 touchdowns while Stefan Diggs caught 10 passes for 148 yards and a touchdown.
Bills Stadium is getting a makeover ππ₯
(Going through @BuffaloBills) pic.twitter.com/XNObsartAv
β Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 27, 2022
Devin Singletary added 85 yards rushing, as well as 4 catches for 22 yards. After the Chiefs’ victory, many consider the Bills to be one of the best, if not the best, team in the NFL. They are second in points per game, averaging 29.3, 1st in total yards and 1st in passing yards. They are 16th in passing yards. They are also first in team defense, allowing just 13.5 points per game. They are 1st in yards against, 1st in rushing yards against and 11th in passing yards against. They’re in pretty good health but they have some stoned players in the secondary, including Xavier Rhodes, who is questionable.
Best bets for this game
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Full game side bet
Insider status:
Evaluation:
The Bills have every advantage in this one, not the least of which is that they have a week off, so they had a week to rest and didn’t have to travel. They also have the advantage of being a much better team. I have zero confidence in the Packers’ ability to move the ball against a Bills defense that is No. 1 overall and No. 1 against the run. They’ll get Rodgers to throw the ball and in years past that was always something teams wanted to avoid, but Rodgers isn’t the same Aaron Rodgers, and he won’t be able to do it successfully. But the Packers defense will keep that close enough to cover. Take the Packers here to get the points.
Prediction: Green Bay +11
Total Full Game Selection
Insider status:
Evaluation:
As mentioned, I have zero confidence in the Packers’ ability to score against this excellent Bills defense. The Packers won’t be able to run the ball, and Rodgers will try to force it, throw picks, likely blame someone else, and get frustrated. Meanwhile, the Bills’ offense will put enough points on the board to win, but they won’t hit their season average against the NFL’s No. 1-ranked pass defense. I see this game ending something like 27-17, with Green Bay racking up lagging waste points. But that still won’t be enough to top the total. Under betting is 4-1 in the Packers’ last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Grab the below here.
Prediction: Under 47.5
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